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GET A SPRING MEMBERSHIP PACKAGE THROUGH TO END NOVEMBER - -The Ace tips!
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Tajodds Starts on the Caulfield Cup


The first task is to find some horses that historically struggle to place in the big event. 
Delete horses at over 7yo
Give a bonus to horses drawn between 3 and 14 barriers
Delete horses in the market >$16.00
Delete horses with more than 4 runs this prep
Give a bonus to horses with saddle cloths 1 to 8
Prefer horses on pace (no leading)to midfield in pace analysis

We then start the fun by finding the horses expected peak run at this start and balancing off the weight they must carry over the limit.
Next we refine the ratings via likely pace analysis (risky), jockeys, going, weather (mares), consistency etc.
Next, we compare our price with the market to find any value


Essentially I am looking for an improving stayer (beats the handicap), < 8yo, saddle cloth 1 to 12, races on pace to midfield, from barriers 3 to 14, is < $16 in current market and has had less than 5 runs this prep = Ventura Storm, Humidor and Bonneval. I don't like the barrier 2 for the fav Johannes vermeer





Caulfield Raceguide - 18 October 2017
Rail: True Entire Circuit.    Track: GOOD 3

7 
Italktravel Stakes $120,0001200m
GOOD 3 WT:54.0 Type:OPEN Group LR API:18.65 Not a betting race5:05 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
04551 
Keen Array 4 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)2nd     Mark Zahra  
60.0 55.5 $6.00 
040x6 
Faatinah 11 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Kerrin Mcevoy  
58.0 57  
160x8 
Bassett 6 () (Mick Price)4th     Beau Mertens  
56.5 53 $16.00 
5x643 
Malibu Style 7 () (Neville Parnham)     Steven Parnham  
56.5 57.5 $3.80 
9611x 
Calanda 12 () (P & P Snowden)     Hugh Bowman  
56.0 48.5 
0046x 
Lite'n In My Veins 9 () (Aaron Purcell)     Noel Callow  
54.0 47.5  
1158x 
Sadaqa 3 () (M & L Cerchi)     Dwayne Dunn  
54.0 48.5  
111x4 
Rich Charm 5 () (Udyta Clarke)1st $5.50     Patrick Moloney  
54.0 56.5 $4.50 
97374 
Ruettiger 2 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Craig Williams  
54.0 54.5 $8.00 
10 614x8 
Sebring Sun 1 () (Darren Weir)     Michael Dee  
54.0 52  
11 21x21 
So You Too 8 () (Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas)     Damien Oliver  
54.0 52  
12 x0972 
Suspense - () (P & P Snowden)       
54.0   
13 4x020 
Oberland 10 () (Darren Weir)     Damian Lane  
54.0 46  


Caulfield Raceguide - 21 October 2017
   Track: N/A 
Chrome: Doesn't Support

8 
Bmw Caulfield Cup $3,000,0002400m
N/A WT:50.0 Type:OPEN Group 1 API:60.554:30 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
x6813 
Humidor 7 () (Darren Weir)     Damian Lane  
56.0 66 $4.80 
x1521 
Marmelo 10 () (H Morrison)     Hugh Bowman  
55.0 60  
712x2 
Johannes Vermeer 2 () (A P O'brien)     Ben Melham  
54.5 63 $14.00 
x6813 
Jon Snow 6 () (Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman)     Stephen Baster  
54.5 57.5  
x4688 
He's Our Rokkii 15 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Luke Nolen  
54.0 56.5  
5x865 
Sir Isaac Newton 17 () (Robert Hickmott)     Katelyn Mallyon  
54.0 58  
5x762 
Ventura Storm 4 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Damien Oliver  
54.0 66.5 $4.20 
42444 
Wicklow Brave 16 () (Willie Mullins)     Joao Moreira  
54.0 58  
x6965 
Inference 11 () (Michael & Wayne & John Hawkes)     Dwayne Dunn  
53.5 63 $14.00 
10 x0544 
Single Gaze 12 () (Nick Olive)     Kathy O'hara  
53.0 59  
11 1x116 
Bonneval 14 () (Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman)     Kerrin Mcevoy  
52.5 64 $8.00 
12 3x712 
Hardham 8 () (David Brideoake)     Craig Newitt  
52.5 56.5  
13 x3934 
Boom Time 3 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)       
52.0 56  
14 x7258 
Abbey Marie 5 () (Michael Kent)     Beau Mertens  
51.5 61  
15 6x515 
Harlem 1 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Chad Schofield  
51.5 56.5  
16 83941 
Amelie's Star 13 () (Darren Weir)     Craig Williams  
51.0 63.5 $10.00 
17 5x211 
Lord Fandango 9 () (Archie Alexander)     Ben Allen  
50.0 63 $12.00 



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